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38 review for The Odds Against Obama

  1. 5 out of 5

    Paul Bassett

    Michael Medved has aptly applied his competence as an historian of American politics and as a commentator on current affairs in his recent eBook, “The Odds Against Obama: Why History and Logic Make the President a Likely Loser” (SRN Books, 2012). By examining the facts of American history, Mr. Medved is able to pierce the veil of political assumptions in a way that is both entertaining and intriguing. And his style is engaging while not being polemical. For example, the author explodes the common Michael Medved has aptly applied his competence as an historian of American politics and as a commentator on current affairs in his recent eBook, “The Odds Against Obama: Why History and Logic Make the President a Likely Loser” (SRN Books, 2012). By examining the facts of American history, Mr. Medved is able to pierce the veil of political assumptions in a way that is both entertaining and intriguing. And his style is engaging while not being polemical. For example, the author explodes the common misconception that incumbents are more likely to win re-election. Looking back on all the previous presidential elections in this country, Mr. Medved calculates that the incumbent wins only 63% of the time. And to add even more depth to the story he is quick to note that there has never been an incumbent re-elected who lost popularity in their first term. He also notes that, “No postwar president ever won reelection with an unemployment rate above 7.2 percent” adding still another dimension to his thesis. The power of the incumbent is not as formidable as we once might have believed. What makes this book all the more interesting is the fact that the author does not limit himself to political minutiae. I found his analysis of the country’s changing demographics to be particularly captivating. For example, he notes that 880,000 people have left Obama’s Illinois (2009-2010) while 782,000 have migrated to Texas. In other words, people are voting with their feet against the liberal policies of states like Illinois and in favor of the more conservative ones like Texas. This fact is underscored further when he notes that the most recent census (2000) was the first time that California did not pick up any representation in Washington or the Electoral College since it’s statehood. And just as captivating is Mr. Medved’s look at how values drive voters. One myth that he ably dispels is that the Hispanic vote is necessarily Democratic. By showing how the Hispanics voted overwhelmingly for California’s Proposition 8 and against the vociferous liberal support of that measure, Medved concludes that Hispanics prefer their strong commitment to the traditional family over party. And as the Democratic Party becomes more secular and more liberal they may well find Hispanics leaving for the more “family friendly” and God affirming GOP. And Medved provides a fascinating look at his own Jewish heritage. He asks the very interesting question, why do America’s Jews so overwhelmingly vote for the Democrats who have been so failing in their support of Israel? I’ll leave it to the reader to find the answer which is quite interesting and more than a little counter intuitive. By weaving all these thread together, Mr. Medved has woven a fascinating story. And just to be fair, he also lays out some scenarios that may well be disconcerting for conservatives. Medved correctly observes that even if Mr. Obama were to fail in his current bid for re-election he would still be eligible to run again in the future. Given his relative youth and his stature in the Democratic party, a loss for Obama this year will almost certainly not be the end of his involvement in presidential politics. And even more interesting is Medved’s speculations about the future prospects of our First Lady. Were her husband to fail, would she become a candidate? Or, even more interestingly, were her husband to regain the Presidency now or in the future will he appoint her to an influential position that will be a springboard for her eventual run for President? In short, the influence of Team Obama is not to be ignored. There is, however, one shortcoming to this book that I am compelled to mention. And that is the author’s compulsion to use single sentence paragraphs! SSP’s are not technically out-of-bounds with regard to good grammar but they are not preferred. When we understand that the purpose of a paragraph is to develop an idea and not merely state a fact or premise, using a single sentence becomes particularly perilous. Mr. Medved does this so often as to make citing an example needless and I found this one fact particularly distracting. I will, however, enthusiastically recommend this book to your reading. It is an education in the art and science of modern politics.

  2. 5 out of 5

    Abel Keogh

    A good look at why Obama should lose this election and how a second term would do nothing but add to the gridlock in DC. Full of facts and presidential history you'll understand how an Obama victory in November would defy the odds and lead to another 4 years of a stagnant economy and increased partisan rancor. A good look at why Obama should lose this election and how a second term would do nothing but add to the gridlock in DC. Full of facts and presidential history you'll understand how an Obama victory in November would defy the odds and lead to another 4 years of a stagnant economy and increased partisan rancor.

  3. 5 out of 5

    Diane Lybbert

    Analysis of past political history of presidents seeking 2nd term, combined with current events, policies, and polls indicates that re-election (while possible) is not a slam-dunk.

  4. 5 out of 5

    Rodney Ulyate

  5. 4 out of 5

    Alan Bixby

  6. 5 out of 5

    Lori Sue

  7. 4 out of 5

    Andrew Alan

  8. 5 out of 5

    MARIE DESANTO

  9. 5 out of 5

    Eric Bateman

  10. 4 out of 5

    John J Pizzato

  11. 5 out of 5

    Paul J Croeber

  12. 5 out of 5

    Craig Stock

  13. 4 out of 5

    Sharon K. Reffett-Pearce

  14. 4 out of 5

    Brian Lee

  15. 5 out of 5

    Kevin

  16. 5 out of 5

    Ryan

  17. 5 out of 5

    Martha B. Taylor

  18. 4 out of 5

    Christopher N Horvath

  19. 4 out of 5

    Jason

  20. 5 out of 5

    Roger Leonhardt

  21. 5 out of 5

    David Johnston

  22. 4 out of 5

    Michael Joseph

  23. 4 out of 5

    Rebecca

  24. 4 out of 5

    Bryan

  25. 4 out of 5

    Scott Guzek

  26. 5 out of 5

    Barbara Mensah

  27. 4 out of 5

    Saqif Bhuiya

  28. 5 out of 5

    Mahrukh

  29. 4 out of 5

    محمود اسماعيل

  30. 5 out of 5

    Timothy Fralick

  31. 4 out of 5

    Jaimon Joseph

  32. 4 out of 5

    Nanne Nana nyarko

  33. 5 out of 5

    Jeremiah Zaraspe

  34. 4 out of 5

    Aman Sharma

  35. 5 out of 5

    Jharna

  36. 5 out of 5

    Genius

  37. 5 out of 5

    Apoorva Beniwal

  38. 5 out of 5

    Thomas Jahns

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